Flood susceptibility mapping of Cheongju, South Korea based on the integration of environmental factors using various machine learning approaches

Abstract

Floods are natural occurrences that pose serious risks to human life and the environment, including significant property and infrastructure damage and subsequent socioeconomic challenges. Recent floods in Cheongju County, South Korea have been linked to river overflow. In this study, we created flood susceptibility maps of Cheongju, South Korea using machine learning techniques including support vector regression (SVR), boosted tree (BOOST), and long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithms, based on environmental factors. Potentially influential variables were selected based on flood data gathered through field surveys; these included the slope, aspect, length -slope factor, wind exposition index, terrain wetness index, plan curvature, normalized difference water index, geology, soil drainage, soil depth, soil texture, land use type, and forest density. To improve the robustness of the flood susceptibility model, the most influential factors were identified using the frequency ratio method. Implementing machine learning techniques like SVR and BOOST produced encouraging outcomes, achieving the area under the curve (AUC) of 83.16% and 86.70% for training, and 81.65% and 86.43% for testing, respectively. While, the LSTM algorithm showed superior flood susceptibility mapping performance, with an AUC value of 87.01% for training and 86.91% for testing, demonstrating its robust performance and reliability in accurately assessing flood susceptibility. The results of this study enhance our understanding of flood susceptibility in South Korea and demonstrate the potential of the proposed approach for informing and guiding crucial regional policy decisions, contributing to a more resilient and prepared future.