기술보증기금 보증기업의 산업별 경영성과 예측

초록

This study aims to enhance the growth potential of technology SMEs by developing forecasting models for financial performance by industry and providing forecasts for key financial metrics of the companies. We also seeks to offer practical guidelines for establishing and consulting management strategies of SMEs. To do this, sevearal time series models such as AR, ARDL, VAR, and FAVAR were utilized to select the optimal forecasting model for each industry. According to the study, the optimal forecasting model varies by industry, indicating that it is challenging to find a universally applicable optimal forecasting model for all industries. This implies that different models should be applied considering the characteristics of each industry.

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