A trend analysis of seasonal average temperatures over 40 years in South Korea using Mann-Kendall test and sen's slope

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초록

Due to the frequent emergence of global abnormal climates, related studies on meteorological change is being actively proceed. However, the research on trend analysis using weather data accumulated over a long period of time was insufficient. In this study, the trend of temperature time series data accumulated from automated surface observing system (ASOS) for 40 years was analyzed by using a non-parametric analysis method. As a result of the Mann-Kendall test on the annual average temperature and seasonal average temperature time series data in South Korea, it has shown that an upward trend exists. In addition, the result of calculating the Sen's slope, which can determine the degree of tendency before and after the searched change point by applying the Pettitt test, recent data after the fluctuation point confirmed that the tendency of temperature rise was even greater.

키워드

trend analysisMann-Kendall testSen's slopePettitt testchange pointseasonal average temperatureTIME-SERIES
제목
A trend analysis of seasonal average temperatures over 40 years in South Korea using Mann-Kendall test and sen's slope
저자
Jin, Dae-HyunJang, Sung-HwanKim, Hee-KyungLee, Yung-Seop
DOI
10.5351/KJAS.2021.34.3.439
발행일
2021-06
유형
Article
저널명
응용통계연구
34
3
페이지
439 ~ 447