An Integrated Geotechnical Ground-HAZUS Framework for Urban Seismic Vulnerability Assessment in Seoul, Korea

Abstract

This study presents an integrated framework that couples three-dimensional geotechnical ground modeling with a HAZUS-based urban seismic vulnerability assessment for Seoul, Korea. Over 63,000 boreholes, in situ seismic tests, and building inventory records were compiled into a unified relational database following rigorous multi-stage quality control. A multi-parameter N-Vs regression model was calibrated to supplement missing shear-wave velocity (Vs) data, reducing prediction errors by more than 20% relative to conventional empirical equations. Based on the quality-controlled Vs dataset, a high-resolution three-dimensional Vs-ground model was constructed to represent subsurface heterogeneity and associated uncertainty across the metropolitan area. The building inventory, comprising approximately 700,000 structures, was standardized according to the HAZUS structural taxonomy and mapped to Korean seismic design eras, enabling a Seoul-adapted vulnerability assessment in which exposure characterization and seismic demand are localized. Site-specific ground-motion amplification and response spectra derived from the 3D ground model were used to modify the spectral acceleration input to the HAZUS fragility functions. Results reveal pronounced spatial variability in site conditions, with northern mountainous zones corresponding primarily to NEHRP Site Class B, central districts to Class C, and southern alluvial basins to Classes D-E, producing amplification differences of up to 1.7 under identical input spectral accelerations. High-risk zones such as Gangnam, Songpa, and Yeouido exhibit concentrated expected damage where thick alluvial deposits coincide with dense stocks of mid-rise reinforced-concrete buildings. Overall, the study demonstrates that integrating high-resolution 3D geotechnical ground models with HAZUS-based fragility analysis provides a physically consistent and data-driven basis for urban-scale seismic risk assessment and resilience planning.