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Do Product and Geographic Diversification Mitigate the Impact of Global Trade Shocks?제품 및 지리적 다각화의 글로벌 무역 충격 완화 효과

Other Titles
제품 및 지리적 다각화의 글로벌 무역 충격 완화 효과
Authors
최병화
Issue Date
Dec-2022
Publisher
동국대학교 사회과학연구원
Keywords
제품 다각화; 지리적 다각화; 무역 붕괴; 무역 둔화; 수출; Product Diversification; Geographic Diversification; Trade Collapse; Trade Slowdown; Exports
Citation
사회과학연구, v.29, no.4, pp 7 - 34
Pages
28
Indexed
KCI
Journal Title
사회과학연구
Volume
29
Number
4
Start Page
7
End Page
34
URI
https://scholarworks.dongguk.edu/handle/sw.dongguk/22322
DOI
10.46415/jss.2022.09.29.4.7
ISSN
1598-8996
Abstract
This paper analyzes how product and geographic diversification affected the export performance of firms during the 2008-2009 trade collapse and the trade slowdown since 2012. Detailed transaction-level customs data from Taiwan over the period 2005-2014 indicate that product diversification during the pre-crisis stage significantly helped to mitigate the effect of the trade collapse on exports. Strong evidence also points to the important role of geographic diversification in mitigating the effect of the trade slowdown on exports. Based on these results, this study recommends the diversification of the export structure in terms of products and market destinations to attenuate the impact of global trade shocks. However, the effectiveness of a particular type of diversification remains dependent on the nature of the shock.
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